Showing posts with label china. Show all posts
Showing posts with label china. Show all posts

Monday, June 21, 2010

A few Thoughts on the RMB


China indeed came through with the promised revaluation of the RMB over the weekend, effectively reverting to the "pre-crisis" pegging criteria for the currency established in 2005.


By the close of business in Asia on Monday, the Renminbi had advanced almost .5%, to 6.7976 per dollar.

This looks like a blip on the radar, but represents the only real move in the RMB over the past two years, as the PRC government prevented appreciation of the currency in an effort to drive exports.

Check out John Hudson's post on the Atlantic Wire blog for a round up of punditry following China's big move. Lots of comments about posturing ahead of the G-20 summit and a few prognostications of the evolution of China's economy that address a gumbo of currency, labor and social issues.

As someone no longer bound to rationalize PRC economic policy as part of my job, I am more interested in the larger issues of State Capitalism in play for China. Ian Bremmer addressed the threats for China's government last year in Foreign Affairs:

I think that state capitalism is ultimately unsustainable in China. A government that micromanages economic life can take enormous credit when it helps generate three decades of nine percent annual growth. But when things begin to slow and the pace of economic expansion can no longer match the pace of rising public expectations, the leadership will have to shoulder a lot of the blame. When the gap between rich and poor reaches a tipping point, when go-go growth produces a true ecological disaster, whatever the turning point, the party will have to take the lion's share of responsibility. But these chickens won't be coming home to roost in the next couple of years. This is probably a much longer-term management challenge for the leadership -- though one much larger than any it has yet faced.


Monday, June 07, 2010

Changes in China Could Raise Prices Worldwide

“For a long time, China has been the anchor of global disinflation,” said Dong Tao, an economist at Credit Suisse, referring to how the two decade-long shift to manufacturing in China helped many global companies lower costs and prices. “But this may be the beginning of the end of an era.”

Changes in China Could Raise Prices Worldwide - NYTimes.com

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

The Sales Never Stops

(click image to enlarge. Chart from Reverse Logistics Association)


Folks outside the consumer goods world are often surprised to learn that the sale of an item is not the penultimate transaction between vendor and customer. The service cycle in mass retail, and many other industries, includes dealing with returned merchandise, shipping materials and damaged goods that traditionally where pushed back through the supply chain.

The practice of Reverse Logistics centers on minimizing this back flow. Check out the
Reverse Logistics Association for more about the dramatic cost savings companies are realizing through a holistic view of their product flow.


Monday, February 01, 2010

RIP Chin-Ning Chu

While researching for an article this afternoon, I discovered that author Chin-Ning Chu passed away on December 10, 2009.

Ms. Chu authored a book examining The Art of War and several other volumes full of blunt insights into the contrasts of East and West. Her book The Asian Mind Game is mandatory reading for any American seriously engaged with Asia - a beautifully tactless primer. Over the years I have bought then passed along to friends and colleagues at least ten copies of this book.

My sincere condolences to Ms. Chu 's family. She was a remarkable and honest communicator.

Friday, January 22, 2010

Soup Dumplings - A Cautionary Tale



Inspired by the Blissful Glutton, I headed to Chef Liu this afternoon with college buddy and China Hand Dave Black. We enjoyed a table full of dumplings with a centerpiece of the restaurant's renowned soup buns.

Dave, an avowed Din Tai Fung addict, went all in on his first steaming, perfectly flavored soup bun. After the burn wore off he kept on eating!